Avellino vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
31.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1991 |
SAL
1 - 1
AVE
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1991 |
AVE
1 - 1
ASL
41%
31%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1991 |
SSB
3 - 0
AVE
42%
30%
28%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1991 |
AVE
2 - 0
UDI
36%
32%
32%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1991 |
BRE
1 - 0
AVE
48%
28%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1991 |
MES
0 - 2
USF
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1991 |
REG
1 - 0
MES
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1991 |
MES
0 - 0
MOD
54%
26%
20%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1991 |
TRI
1 - 1
MES
38%
29%
33%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1991 |
MES
3 - 1
VER
37%
31%
32%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |