Avellino vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
25.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
CAG
2 - 0
AVE
35%
30%
35%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1990 |
PES
2 - 1
AVE
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1989 |
AVE
4 - 0
COS
50%
28%
23%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
REG
4 - 1
AVE
46%
29%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1989 |
AVE
1 - 1
TOR
25%
31%
44%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
MES
1 - 0
FCC
62%
25%
14%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1990 |
ACM
6 - 0
MES
81%
14%
5%
|
64 | 90 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1990 |
CAG
3 - 0
MES
37%
29%
34%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1990 |
MES
0 - 0
ATL
29%
25%
46%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1989 |
MES
2 - 0
TOR
25%
30%
45%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +1 |