Avellino vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
AVE
0 - 1
TAR
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
AVE
2 - 1
LAT
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
SAL
2 - 0
AVE
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
AVE
1 - 1
BAR
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2017 |
BEN
2 - 1
AVE
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
MAT
2 - 0
CAS
49%
25%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 1
NUO
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
NUO
2 - 1
MAT
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ASM
0 - 3
MAT
21%
25%
54%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 1
MON
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |