Avellino vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
BEN
1 - 0
AVE
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
AVE
2 - 2
LOD
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
AVE
0 - 1
LAZ
19%
28%
53%
|
64 | 89 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
AVE
2 - 1
VNZ
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1996 |
CHI
3 - 0
AVE
64%
22%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
MAR
1 - 1
JUS
23%
24%
54%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
VIT
3 - 1
MAR
67%
19%
15%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
MAR
2 - 4
TRA
29%
23%
49%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |