Avellino vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
21.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
BEN
0 - 1
AVE
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
AVE
0 - 0
TUR
61%
23%
17%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
AVE
1 - 0
JUS
40%
26%
35%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
PIC
2 - 0
AVE
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
AVE
1 - 3
SSC
62%
23%
14%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ASL
0 - 0
FER
66%
22%
13%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
ASL
1 - 0
JS2
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ARZ
1 - 1
ASL
35%
28%
37%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
ASL
3 - 2
JS2
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ASL
1 - 2
VIS
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |