Avellino vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
25.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1991 |
AVE
1 - 3
BRE
46%
31%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1991 |
MES
2 - 0
AVE
45%
30%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1991 |
AVE
2 - 0
TAR
43%
30%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1991 |
MOD
0 - 0
AVE
50%
28%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
AVE
1 - 0
BOL
34%
30%
36%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1991 |
ASL
0 - 0
TAR
51%
27%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1991 |
COS
2 - 1
ASL
47%
29%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1991 |
ASL
0 - 0
MES
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1991 |
BRE
2 - 2
ASL
51%
28%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
ASL
1 - 1
PIS
36%
30%
34%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |