Avellino vs Lodigiani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
SAS
1 - 1
AVE
42%
26%
33%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
AVE
1 - 1
NOC
62%
24%
14%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
CAT
3 - 1
AVE
41%
27%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
GIU
0 - 0
AVE
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
AVE
2 - 3
FER
59%
24%
18%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lodigiani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
BEN
0 - 1
LOD
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
LOD
0 - 0
FER
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
VIR
2 - 0
LOD
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
LOD
1 - 2
TAR
27%
26%
47%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
LOD
1 - 1
ASC
27%
26%
47%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |