Avellino vs Lodigiani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
AVE
0 - 1
LAZ
19%
28%
53%
|
64 | 89 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
AVE
2 - 1
VNZ
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1996 |
CHI
3 - 0
AVE
64%
22%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1996 |
AVE
1 - 2
PES
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1996 |
COS
3 - 3
AVE
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lodigiani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1994 |
LOD
0 - 3
INT
12%
22%
67%
|
44 | 88 | 44 | 0 |