Avellino vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
15.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
TOR
1 - 0
AVE
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
AVE
2 - 1
SAM
35%
30%
35%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
COM
1 - 1
AVE
43%
29%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
AVE
1 - 1
PIS
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
ROM
5 - 1
AVE
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
LEC
0 - 1
SAM
25%
31%
44%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
UDI
2 - 1
LEC
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
LEC
1 - 1
BAR
53%
29%
18%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
INT
3 - 0
LEC
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
LEC
2 - 1
ATL
48%
29%
23%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |