Avellino vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.3%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
35.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1979 |
AVE
3 - 1
FIO
24%
26%
51%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
COM
1 - 0
AVE
44%
29%
27%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1979 |
AVE
0 - 0
TER
57%
26%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
VER
0 - 0
AVE
58%
22%
19%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
JUV
3 - 3
AVE
82%
13%
5%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
LAZ
0 - 0
UDI
70%
18%
12%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
PIS
1 - 2
LAZ
34%
26%
41%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1979 |
BRE
0 - 2
LAZ
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
LAZ
5 - 0
MAT
81%
12%
7%
|
75 | 46 | 29 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ACM
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |