Avellino vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
15.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
BEN
1 - 0
AVE
24%
29%
47%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
AVE
1 - 2
TER
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
SSS
1 - 1
AVE
42%
28%
29%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
AVE
1 - 0
PES
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
AVE
1 - 0
MAR
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
LAQ
0 - 1
FER
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
CHI
0 - 0
LAQ
50%
26%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
LAQ
0 - 0
GIU
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
SOR
1 - 1
LAQ
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
TAR
2 - 0
LAQ
55%
26%
20%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |