Avellino vs Nola 1925 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.3%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.8%
4.2%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
LAD
1 - 4
AVE
10%
21%
69%
|
60 | 17 | 43 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
ROM
1 - 1
AVE
85%
11%
4%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
TER
1 - 2
AVE
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
AVE
1 - 0
SPE
37%
29%
35%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
ASC
1 - 1
AVE
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nola 1925
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
FCF
0 - 3
HYR
70%
17%
14%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
HYR
76%
17%
8%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
HYR
1 - 3
MAT
25%
25%
50%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
GEL
0 - 0
HYR
64%
21%
15%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
HYR
0 - 1
GLA
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |