Avellino vs Real Giulianova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
6.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
SAL
1 - 1
AVE
34%
27%
40%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
ANC
0 - 2
AVE
20%
25%
55%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
AVE
2 - 1
MAR
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
AVE
2 - 0
TER
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
JUS
1 - 0
AVE
26%
26%
48%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Giulianova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
GIU
0 - 2
TAR
22%
29%
49%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
RAV
3 - 1
GIU
69%
21%
10%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
GIU
2 - 2
GAL
22%
26%
53%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
GIU
1 - 1
CAV
20%
29%
52%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
SSS
2 - 0
GIU
67%
21%
12%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |