Avellino vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
19.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1983 |
AVE
0 - 0
SAM
56%
26%
18%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
JUV
4 - 1
AVE
78%
15%
7%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1983 |
AVE
0 - 0
NAP
46%
30%
25%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1983 |
FIO
3 - 0
AVE
62%
24%
14%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1983 |
AVE
3 - 0
VER
56%
27%
17%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1983 |
GEN
2 - 3
INT
31%
29%
40%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
GEN
4 - 1
FCC
54%
26%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1983 |
UDI
1 - 1
GEN
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1983 |
CAG
1 - 1
GEN
61%
24%
16%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1983 |
GEN
2 - 1
CES
53%
27%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |