Avellino vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.1%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
35.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
ATL
2 - 0
AVE
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
AVE
2 - 0
LEC
60%
24%
16%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
TOR
1 - 0
AVE
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
AVE
2 - 1
SAM
35%
30%
35%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
COM
1 - 1
AVE
43%
29%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
FIO
2 - 0
JUV
28%
29%
43%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
BAR
0 - 1
FIO
31%
30%
39%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
FIO
0 - 0
VER
46%
27%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
INT
2 - 0
FIO
65%
20%
14%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
FIO
0 - 0
ATL
64%
23%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |