Avellino vs Fidelis Andria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
25.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1993 |
AVE
2 - 2
ANC
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1993 |
ANC
1 - 0
AVE
71%
17%
12%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1993 |
AVE
0 - 0
LAZ
20%
26%
54%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
LAZ
0 - 2
AVE
87%
9%
4%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 1993 |
AVE
1 - 0
BAR
25%
26%
50%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Fidelis Andria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
UDI
3 - 1
FIA
74%
18%
9%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1995 |
FIA
2 - 2
VNZ
42%
29%
29%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
ASL
2 - 2
FIA
54%
26%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1995 |
FIA
0 - 0
ACI
57%
26%
17%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
ANC
2 - 1
FIA
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |