Avellino vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
PES
2 - 2
AVE
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
AVE
2 - 1
BEN
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
VIT
1 - 1
AVE
30%
27%
44%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2001 |
AVE
3 - 1
TAR
37%
28%
34%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
ASC
4 - 1
AVE
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
FER
1 - 1
CHI
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
FER
1 - 2
ASC
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
BEN
1 - 0
FER
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
FER
1 - 0
NOC
54%
24%
21%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
VIT
1 - 2
FER
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |