Serie C Playoffs Ascenso Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Avellino vs FC Südtirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
27.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2021 |
AVE
1 - 0
PAL
27%
27%
46%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 0
AVE
64%
21%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CAV
1 - 1
AVE
16%
25%
59%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
AVE
0 - 0
TER
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
USV
2 - 0
AVE
23%
27%
50%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
FC Südtirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2021 |
FCS
2 - 1
LEO
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
LEO
2 - 1
FCS
29%
28%
43%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
VIS
1 - 3
FCS
18%
26%
56%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
FCS
1 - 1
CES
51%
25%
25%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
TRI
3 - 2
FCS
32%
29%
39%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |