Avellino vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
36.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
JUS
2 - 2
AVE
31%
27%
43%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
AVE
0 - 1
BRE
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
PAL
2 - 0
AVE
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
AVE
1 - 0
CTT
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
AVE
35%
28%
37%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
CRO
3 - 2
VAR
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CRO
0 - 0
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 1
CRO
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CRO
1 - 1
TER
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 1
CRO
35%
28%
38%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |