Avellino vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
TAR
1 - 0
AVE
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
AVE
3 - 0
LAQ
62%
23%
15%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
BEN
1 - 0
AVE
24%
29%
47%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
AVE
1 - 2
TER
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
SSS
1 - 1
AVE
42%
28%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
CRO
1 - 0
CHI
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
VIT
0 - 0
CRO
30%
29%
41%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
GIU
0 - 3
CRO
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
CRO
2 - 1
SOR
73%
17%
11%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
VIR
1 - 0
CRO
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |