Avellino vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
AVE
1 - 0
ARZ
61%
24%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
ASC
4 - 0
AVE
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
AVE
2 - 0
MAR
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 33 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
BEN
1 - 0
AVE
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
AVE
2 - 2
LOD
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
CRO
2 - 0
MAR
80%
14%
6%
|
63 | 32 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
GIU
1 - 2
CRO
19%
23%
58%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
CRO
3 - 0
LOD
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
CRO
5 - 2
VIT
72%
18%
11%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
CAS
2 - 2
CRO
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |