Avellino vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
21%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
<0%
+1
29.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
15%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
27.5%
13.2%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
ANC
1 - 0
AVE
43%
29%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
AVE
1 - 1
TRI
56%
28%
16%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1990 |
PIS
2 - 1
AVE
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
AVE
0 - 1
USF
63%
25%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
LIC
0 - 0
AVE
45%
28%
28%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
FCC
0 - 1
USF
51%
28%
21%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
CAG
4 - 1
FCC
61%
26%
13%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1990 |
FCC
0 - 0
REG
41%
30%
29%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
TRI
0 - 0
FCC
56%
27%
17%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
PIS
1 - 1
FCC
73%
19%
8%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +1 |