Avellino vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
17.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1983 |
ROM
2 - 0
AVE
77%
16%
8%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
AVE
1 - 0
PIS
56%
27%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1983 |
ROM
5 - 3
AVE
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1983 |
INT
2 - 0
AVE
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1983 |
AVE
0 - 1
ROM
28%
26%
46%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1983 |
UDI
2 - 1
FCC
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1983 |
TOR
2 - 0
FCC
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
FCC
1 - 2
JUV
18%
27%
55%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1983 |
ROM
2 - 0
FCC
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1983 |
FCC
0 - 1
TOR
32%
28%
41%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |