Avellino vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
17.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
AVE
1 - 0
SSS
62%
22%
17%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
ATL
2 - 1
AVE
50%
28%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
SPA
1 - 0
AVE
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
AVE
2 - 0
USF
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
VER
0 - 2
AVE
72%
19%
9%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
FCC
1 - 0
COM
46%
30%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
FCC
2 - 0
PRG
48%
30%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
BRE
0 - 0
FCC
50%
30%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
FCC
3 - 2
USA
59%
27%
14%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
ARZ
1 - 1
FCC
50%
29%
21%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |