Serie C Playoffs Ascenso Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Avellino vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
28.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2024 |
CAT
1 - 0
AVE
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
AVE
1 - 0
CRO
38%
26%
35%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
TAR
1 - 0
AVE
27%
29%
44%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
AVE
1 - 0
BEN
31%
29%
40%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
TUR
0 - 4
AVE
27%
26%
47%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2024 |
CAT
1 - 0
AVE
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CAT
0 - 1
ATA
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
ATA
0 - 1
CAT
29%
28%
44%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CAT
1 - 0
BEN
28%
29%
44%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SOR
3 - 2
CAT
23%
27%
50%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |