Avellino vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
18.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
GIU
1 - 0
AVE
20%
25%
55%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
AVE
1 - 1
CRO
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
AVE
1 - 0
ARZ
61%
24%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
ASC
4 - 0
AVE
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
AVE
2 - 0
MAR
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 32 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
CAT
2 - 0
VIT
60%
23%
18%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
ARZ
1 - 1
CAT
40%
29%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
CAT
1 - 1
NOC
52%
26%
23%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
MAR
0 - 2
CAT
23%
25%
52%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
CAT
0 - 0
BEN
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |