Avellino vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
10.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1980 |
PAL
0 - 1
AVE
44%
30%
26%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1980 |
AVE
1 - 1
ACM
22%
24%
54%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
AVE
0 - 1
ROM
42%
30%
29%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
PRG
2 - 1
AVE
59%
26%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
AVE
0 - 2
FIO
36%
31%
33%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1980 |
ACM
1 - 0
CAT
83%
13%
4%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1980 |
CAT
0 - 0
INT
13%
22%
66%
|
52 | 84 | 32 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 1977 |
BRE
4 - 1
CAT
63%
25%
12%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 1977 |
CAT
0 - 1
TER
44%
31%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1977 |
MOD
4 - 2
CAT
53%
29%
18%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |