Avellino vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
21.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
PIS
1 - 0
AVE
65%
22%
12%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
AVE
1 - 1
PES
38%
30%
32%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1992 |
REG
2 - 2
AVE
60%
25%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1992 |
AVE
0 - 0
ANC
39%
30%
32%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1992 |
COS
1 - 0
AVE
48%
29%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
CAS
0 - 0
VNZ
36%
30%
34%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
ASL
2 - 2
CAS
58%
25%
17%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1992 |
UDI
2 - 2
CAS
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1992 |
CAS
0 - 0
PAD
36%
31%
34%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1992 |
PAL
3 - 0
CAS
51%
27%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |