Avellino vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.6%
32.3%
Draw
0-0
16.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.3%
27.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
REG
0 - 0
AVE
59%
24%
18%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
AVE
1 - 1
ASC
31%
32%
37%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
AVE
1 - 2
USF
33%
30%
37%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1991 |
TRI
2 - 1
AVE
45%
29%
26%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
AVE
1 - 3
TAR
43%
31%
26%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
PAD
5 - 1
MES
42%
29%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
COS
2 - 0
PAD
44%
31%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
ASC
1 - 2
PAD
67%
22%
11%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1991 |
PAD
3 - 1
REG
44%
29%
27%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
USF
1 - 1
PAD
66%
22%
12%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |