Avellino vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
23.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1982 |
CES
2 - 0
AVE
55%
25%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
AVE
2 - 0
ASC
44%
29%
27%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
TOR
4 - 1
AVE
61%
24%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
AVE
0 - 0
PRG
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1982 |
SAL
1 - 2
AVE
44%
24%
32%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1982 |
CAG
0 - 2
INT
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
UDI
1 - 1
CAG
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
CAG
1 - 3
ROM
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
TOR
1 - 1
CAG
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1982 |
CAG
2 - 2
PAL
73%
16%
11%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |