Avellino vs Brindisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
PRG
3 - 1
AVE
57%
25%
17%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
AVE
4 - 1
ARZ
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1974 |
FCC
1 - 0
AVE
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
SSS
0 - 0
AVE
41%
29%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
AVE
2 - 0
ATL
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Brindisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
BRI
0 - 1
NOV
42%
30%
28%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
SPA
0 - 0
BRI
62%
23%
15%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1974 |
BRI
0 - 1
PRG
46%
28%
27%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
PAR
2 - 0
BRI
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
BRI
4 - 1
SSS
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |