Avellino vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
62%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
AVE
0 - 1
TRI
36%
28%
37%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2005 |
VER
0 - 0
AVE
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
AVE
0 - 1
SIE
25%
25%
50%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
FRO
5 - 3
AVE
50%
23%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
SPA
5 - 1
AVE
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
CAT
2 - 1
BRE
25%
27%
49%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2005 |
BRE
1 - 0
CHI
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
ARZ
2 - 2
BRE
25%
26%
49%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
PRO
0 - 1
BRE
10%
20%
70%
|
80 | 42 | 38 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
FIO
3 - 0
BRE
45%
26%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |