Avellino vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.5%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
37.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
PIS
1 - 1
AVE
36%
30%
34%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
AVE
0 - 0
USF
14%
24%
62%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
FIA
3 - 1
AVE
44%
29%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
AVE
0 - 1
VER
44%
29%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1995 |
AVE
1 - 4
JUV
11%
25%
64%
|
66 | 91 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
BRE
1 - 0
SAL
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
BRE
1 - 0
VER
62%
22%
17%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
ASL
0 - 0
BRE
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
BRE
2 - 2
FIA
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1995 |
PES
2 - 4
BRE
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |