Avellino vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
36.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
PES
0 - 0
AVE
50%
25%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
AVE
1 - 2
CRO
48%
27%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 0
AVE
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
ACD
0 - 0
AVE
28%
27%
45%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
AVE
0 - 0
VAR
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
BOL
2 - 2
FRO
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
CAT
2 - 2
BOL
51%
25%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
BOL
2 - 0
BAR
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
SPE
1 - 1
BOL
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
BOL
1 - 2
BRE
58%
24%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |