Avellino vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2000 |
LOD
1 - 1
AVE
29%
27%
45%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
VIT
2 - 2
AVE
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
AVE
2 - 1
CAT
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
FIA
2 - 1
AVE
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
AVE
2 - 1
CAS
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
BEN
1 - 2
PAL
36%
29%
35%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
ARZ
3 - 2
BEN
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
BEN
1 - 2
VIT
52%
25%
24%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
CAS
1 - 0
BEN
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
BEN
0 - 0
NOC
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |