Avellino vs Atl. Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
11.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
FIA
2 - 1
AVE
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
AVE
2 - 1
CAS
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
JUS
1 - 0
AVE
46%
26%
29%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
AVE
2 - 1
GUA
67%
21%
13%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
ANC
1 - 0
AVE
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
CAT
1 - 1
MAR
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
GIU
1 - 1
CAT
46%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
CAT
0 - 0
BEN
27%
26%
47%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
ARZ
3 - 1
CAT
64%
22%
14%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
VIT
3 - 0
CAT
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |