Avellino vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
30.8%
Draw
0-0
14%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.8%
27.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
PES
3 - 1
AVE
65%
24%
12%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
AVE
2 - 1
NOV
58%
26%
16%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
PAL
1 - 0
AVE
48%
30%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
AVE
0 - 0
LEC
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
VIC
2 - 2
AVE
74%
19%
7%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
ATL
2 - 0
BRE
65%
25%
11%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
VAR
0 - 0
ATL
53%
28%
19%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
ATL
2 - 0
TER
62%
25%
13%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
ASS
1 - 1
ATL
47%
30%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
ATL
2 - 0
TAR
61%
27%
13%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |