Avellino vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2007 |
TAR
1 - 2
AVE
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
AVE
1 - 0
VIR
76%
17%
8%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
SSS
2 - 0
AVE
26%
26%
47%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
AVE
2 - 1
SAN
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
CAV
3 - 1
AVE
35%
27%
39%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2007 |
ASC
2 - 1
CAG
39%
26%
34%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
CHI
1 - 0
ASC
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
ASC
3 - 2
PAL
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
TOR
1 - 0
ASC
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2007 |
CAT
3 - 3
ASC
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |