Avellino vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
31.8%
Draw
0-0
15%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.8%
36.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
AVE
1 - 2
USF
33%
30%
37%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1991 |
TRI
2 - 1
AVE
45%
29%
26%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
AVE
1 - 3
TAR
43%
31%
26%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1991 |
MOD
3 - 1
AVE
45%
29%
27%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
AVE
2 - 0
MES
39%
30%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
ASC
1 - 2
PAD
67%
22%
11%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1991 |
ASC
0 - 0
USC
57%
26%
17%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
UDI
1 - 0
ASC
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1991 |
ASC
0 - 0
PES
63%
23%
14%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
REG
0 - 0
ASC
36%
30%
34%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |