Avellino vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
24.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1987 |
PIS
0 - 0
AVE
55%
23%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1987 |
PES
2 - 0
AVE
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1987 |
AVE
1 - 1
COM
52%
28%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1987 |
ACM
3 - 0
AVE
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1987 |
AVE
1 - 2
SAM
32%
31%
38%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1987 |
ASC
3 - 0
FIO
42%
28%
29%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1987 |
SAM
2 - 0
ASC
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1987 |
JUV
1 - 0
ASC
78%
15%
7%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1987 |
ASC
2 - 2
PIS
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1987 |
INT
2 - 2
ASC
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |