Avellino vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.2%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
27.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
TOR
4 - 1
AVE
61%
24%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
AVE
0 - 0
PRG
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1982 |
SAL
1 - 2
AVE
44%
24%
32%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
NAP
2 - 1
AVE
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1982 |
AVE
2 - 1
LAZ
68%
19%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
ASC
0 - 0
GEN
62%
24%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
BRE
1 - 2
ASC
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1982 |
VAR
3 - 1
ASC
38%
26%
35%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
ASC
2 - 1
SAM
69%
19%
13%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1982 |
ASC
4 - 2
TRI
62%
20%
18%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |