Avellino vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
37.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
VIC
2 - 1
AVE
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
ROM
2 - 1
AVE
68%
21%
11%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
AVE
1 - 1
FIO
28%
31%
41%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
AVE
1 - 1
NAP
30%
33%
38%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
BOL
0 - 0
AVE
71%
20%
10%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
ASC
1 - 0
ATL
63%
23%
14%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
ASC
1 - 2
INT
31%
29%
40%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
JUV
1 - 0
ASC
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
ASC
1 - 1
FCC
61%
24%
15%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
PRG
2 - 0
ASC
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |