Avellino vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
AVE
0 - 1
VIC
61%
23%
15%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
MOD
1 - 2
AVE
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
AVE
1 - 0
CAT
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
PRG
0 - 0
AVE
46%
26%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
AVE
1 - 1
VIR
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 1
PRG
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CAT
2 - 1
VAR
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 1
MOD
38%
27%
36%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
FRO
1 - 1
VAR
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 1
BAR
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |