Avellino vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
31.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1975 |
LAZ
2 - 0
AVE
83%
12%
5%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1975 |
BRE
2 - 0
AVE
55%
23%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1975 |
AVE
0 - 1
ASC
47%
23%
30%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1975 |
AVE
1 - 0
GEN
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 1975 |
PAR
0 - 0
AVE
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1975 |
VAR
0 - 0
ASC
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1975 |
LAZ
1 - 0
VAR
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1975 |
VAR
0 - 0
BRE
69%
19%
13%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
VAR
0 - 2
NAP
32%
32%
36%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
VIC
1 - 1
VAR
57%
25%
17%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |