Avellino vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
49.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
AVE
1 - 1
LAT
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
JUS
0 - 0
AVE
49%
26%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
AVE
1 - 1
CAM
68%
21%
12%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
TER
1 - 1
AVE
73%
17%
11%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
AVE
0 - 1
PAD
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
GRO
0 - 0
ANC
28%
26%
47%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ANC
2 - 1
OLB
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
PES
2 - 1
ANC
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
ANC
1 - 1
MON
72%
17%
12%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SIE
0 - 1
ANC
60%
24%
17%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +6 |