Avellino vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
12.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
TER
1 - 1
AVE
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
AVE
4 - 2
JUS
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
USF
1 - 1
AVE
33%
27%
41%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
AVE
3 - 1
PRG
28%
27%
45%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
MAR
0 - 3
AVE
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
VIR
2 - 1
ANC
42%
28%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
ANC
0 - 1
USF
45%
28%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
PRG
1 - 0
ANC
68%
21%
10%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
ANC
0 - 0
JUS
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2006 |
CAV
3 - 2
ANC
41%
29%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |