Avellino vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
31.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1991 |
VER
1 - 0
AVE
66%
22%
12%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
COS
0 - 0
AVE
44%
30%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
AVE
2 - 1
PAD
41%
32%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
REG
0 - 0
AVE
59%
24%
18%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
AVE
1 - 1
ASC
31%
32%
37%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1991 |
ANC
2 - 0
ASC
41%
29%
30%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
REG
1 - 1
ANC
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
USC
1 - 0
ANC
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
ANC
3 - 2
PES
48%
28%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
MOD
0 - 0
ANC
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |