Avellino vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1988 |
AVE
0 - 1
GEN
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1988 |
FIO
1 - 0
AVE
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1988 |
AVE
1 - 1
ALZ
81%
15%
5%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
INT
1 - 1
AVE
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
AVE
1 - 0
EMP
54%
27%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1988 |
ANC
1 - 0
ALZ
72%
16%
13%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1988 |
GEN
0 - 0
ANC
58%
23%
20%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1988 |
ANC
1 - 2
PIS
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
ANC
1 - 2
CES
64%
20%
17%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
ANC
1 - 4
INT
9%
20%
72%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | -1 |