Avellino vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
36.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
ANC
2 - 1
AVE
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
AVE
1 - 0
BOL
38%
29%
33%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
PAL
2 - 1
AVE
57%
24%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
AVE
1 - 0
SAL
36%
30%
34%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
AVE
2 - 1
BRE
34%
29%
37%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
REG
2 - 1
SAL
48%
28%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1995 |
BOL
3 - 0
REG
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
CES
1 - 1
REG
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
REG
3 - 0
VNZ
56%
25%
18%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
PES
4 - 1
REG
53%
24%
24%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |