Avellino vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
34.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1991 |
ANC
2 - 0
AVE
57%
26%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1991 |
AVE
2 - 2
COS
40%
29%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
PIA
2 - 1
AVE
37%
31%
33%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1991 |
AVE
1 - 0
PAD
41%
31%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1991 |
UDI
1 - 1
AVE
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1991 |
REG
0 - 0
CES
52%
26%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1991 |
VNZ
1 - 3
REG
45%
28%
26%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
REG
1 - 0
ASL
59%
25%
16%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1991 |
CAS
0 - 1
REG
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
REG
0 - 0
NAP
27%
30%
43%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | +1 |